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Fibonacci retracements are one of the most popular methods for predicting currency prices in the Forex market.Predicting upward or downward market movement can help traders with accurate price analysis for exiting or entering the market.The Fibonacci analysis equips you with the insight you can use in trading the volatile market.In this article, we discuss everything you should know about Fibonacci retracement in Forex trading:
What is Fibonacci retracement?
Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis method that helps determine support and resistance levels in the Forex market.The Fibonacci retracement levels are considered as movements in the currency pair price charts that move against the ongoing market trend.Each Fibonacci retracement level is identified as a percentage, which describes how much of a past move in the currency pair price has retraced.22.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% are the most popular and officially used retracement levels. The best time frame to identify Fibonacci retracementsis a 30-to-60-minute candlestick chart, as it allows you to focus on the daily market swings at regular intervals.
Fibonacci Retracement Calculation
There is no specific mathematical formula for finding the Fibonacci retracement. It is calculated by the traderchoosing two price points in the currency pair price chart and drawing lines between them at the specified percentage of the particular move.Let us understand this with an example.Suppose the currency pair price of EUR/USD increases from $100 to $150, and you choose these twoprice levels to draw the Fibonacci retracement indicator at 23.6%.Now, the 23.6% retracement level will be at [$150 - ($50*0.236)] = $150-$11.8 = $138.2.Similarly, the 50% retracement level will be at [$150 – (50*0.5)] = $150-$25 = $125.If we use the example, this means that, in a rising market, the currency pair price will stop increasing at $138.2 or $125,change direction, and start falling. Hence, the $138.2 and $125 price points are considered as the resistance levels that should beconsidered to exit the market by taking a maximum profit.
How to use Fibonacci retracement in Forex?
There are several ways to use the Fibonacci retracement, but it widely depends on your trading strategy and long-term goals.However, here are the basic ways in which each trader can use Fibonacci retracements in the Forex market:
- Start with the lowest retracement percentages and buy near the 23.6% or 38.2% retracement level and place thestop-loss order just right below the 50% retracement level. This will help you minimise losses in a rising market and maximise profits in a falling market.
- If you want to buy near the 50% retracement level, place your stop-loss order right below the 61.8% retracement level to maximise profits and minimise losses.
- When there is a significant upward movement in the market, and you decide to enter a sell position at the top-most price point of the move,use the different Fibonacci retracement percentages as profit-taking strategies.
- As soon as the market comes close to the Fibonacci percentage level and goes back to its initial move, use higher Fibonacci percentageslike 161.8% and 261.8% in order to identify the potential future resistance and support levels. The future prediction will be close to accurateif the market goes beyond the high or low price point that was attained before the retracement occurred.
Top Fibonacci retracement strategies
Fibonacci Flush Strategy
The primary purpose of the Fibonacci Flush Strategy is to identify the hidden resistance and support levels that atrader can use to their benefit by entering, exiting, or stopping a trade movement in the market. When traders combine multipletime frames, they get more accurate results that help identify low-risk entries and highly profitable exits.
- While applying a flush strategy, the swing traders choose their price levels by monitoring the 60-minute charts throughout the day.
- Market timers benefit by combining several daily and weekly charts in order to choose the currency pair prices between which they want to find a retracement level.
The Parabola Pop Strategy
The Parabola Pop Strategy is used to track the breakout points below and above the retracement levels.This helps in provide traders with the early entry points that help save them from major breakouts and breakdownsin the foreign exchange market. The Parabola Pop strategy works best in the longer duration of time as it then enables the tradersto see more significant patterns in the market that are above and beyond the immediate downtrends and uptrends.
- Scalpers and market timers prefer using 15-minute charts and monthly charts together to find the proper Fibonacci retracements levels.
- Intraday traders monitor hourly charts throughout the day to avoid any short-term reversals in the Forex market.
Use the Fibonacci Retracement levels to find the accurate entry and exit points today
When you watch the market trends closely through Fibonacci retracement levels, you allow yourself to see more prominent marketpatterns that do not just consist of the major upturns and downturns. It helps you pinpoint potential profits that are beyondthe short-term expectations of a trader. Blueberry Markets provides you with a set of multiple time frame charts that you can useto analyse the market movement and decide your preferred Fibonacci retracement level and make successful market entry and exit decisions.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How to draw Fibonacci Retracement?
You can place the Fibonacci retracement in the market grid from the low price to high price in an uptrend and from high price to low price in a downtrend.
How to use a Fibonacci Retracement line?
The horizontal Fibonacci lines are used to determine the support and resistance prices in the Forex market.
How to use Fibonacci Retracement technical analysis?
The Fibonacci retracement is analysed by taking two extreme price points on a Forex market price chart.
What time frame is best for Fibonacci retracement?
The 30-60 minute candlestick chart is best suited to analyse the Fibonacci retracements to watch the daily market swings closely.
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